P/E and other valuation multiples
Valuation multiples don't tell you whether a stock is cheap. They tell you what you pay for what you get, and you can only draw conclusions from that by comparing.
- What P/E, P/B, EV/EBIT and dividend yield mean
- What each multiple is best used for
- Why a multiple alone doesn't settle anything
A multiple is the price relative to something
All valuation multiples work on the same logic: the price divided by some figure from the business. This makes companies of different sizes comparable.
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A multiple is meaningless without a comparison
A P/E of 12 is neither cheap nor expensive. It is a number that only gains meaning through comparison. Three sensible points of comparison:
This is why simply looking for the lowest P/E leads you astray. A low multiple is often the market's signal that earnings are expected to weaken.
Company A · stable
- P/E now
- 12
- Own history
- 11–14
- Earnings growth
- +5% / yr
- Return on capital
- 18%
Company B · declining
- P/E now
- 12
- Own history
- 18–22
- Earnings growth
- −12% / yr
- Return on capital
- 7% and falling
Company B looks just as attractive, but its multiple has fallen below its own history. If earnings fall 12%, next year's P/E is already 13.6 at the same price. The cheapness disappears by itself: the low multiple was a warning, not a find.
Past or future earnings?
The same multiple can mean two different things depending on which figure is used.
This content is for information purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation. Investing always involves the risk of losing capital. The value of financial instruments and investments can go up or down, and past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
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