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Stocks · 02 / 13
Stock basicsLevel 2Products7 minUpdated

Where does a stock's return come from?

A stock's return comes from two sources: price gains and dividends. Only their sum tells you how the investment really did.

What you'll learn
  • Which two components make up the total return
  • Why a high dividend yield alone doesn't mean a good investment
  • How a company's earnings growth carries over into the share's value

Two sources, one measure

A stock's return is made up of price gains (the share is worth more when you sell than when you bought) and dividends (the company pays part of its profit to its owners).

There's no point looking at these separately. The right measure is total return: the change in value and the dividends added together. Otherwise, comparisons easily go wrong.

Price gain
The share price rises above the purchase price.
Only realized when you sell. Based on the market expecting the company's future earnings to be higher than before.
Dividend
The company pays out part of its profit.
Comes as cash and is taxable in the year it is paid. The company has no obligation to pay a dividend.

Total return in practice

Two stocks can look very different on a price chart and still return the same.

Company A · grower
The share price rises from €100 to €108, no dividend. Total return 8%. The profit stays in the company and is used for growth.
Company B · dividend payer
The share price rises from €100 to €103 and the company pays a €5 dividend. Total return 8%. Part of the return came as cash.
Chart · illustrative example
The same 8% total return, two different routes
Both investors bought the share for €100 at the start of the year.
Company A · grower+€8.00
Price gain €8.00
Company B · dividend payer+€8.00
€3.00Dividend €5.00
Price gain Dividend

On a price chart the companies look very different: A rose 8%, B only 3%. Yet the total return is identical. If you only compare the share price performance, you reach the wrong conclusion about the dividend payer.

Where do price gains come from over the long term?

In the short term, the share price moves with expectations. Over the long term, it follows what the company achieves: growing earnings.

If the company's earnings grow over the years and the market values them at roughly the same multiple as before, the value of the share rises with the earnings. If earnings don't grow, the price gain has to come from the market paying more for the same earnings, which doesn't go on forever.

Earnings growth
The most durable source of price gains. Based on the company's actual performance.
Rising valuation
The market pays more for the same earnings. This can also reverse.
Profit distribution
Dividends and share buybacks pass the return directly to the owners.

This content is for information purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation. Investing always involves the risk of losing capital. The value of financial instruments and investments can go up or down, and past performance is no guarantee of future returns.

Check question
Test yourself: how the return is made up
Pick an answer to see the explanation right away.
Kysymys 1 / 2
What is a stock's total return?
Kysymys 2 / 2
What typically happens to the share price when the share goes ex-dividend?
Score: 0 / 2

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