How does a company make money?
Before you look at a single number, understand where the company's money comes from, how recurring it is and why competitors haven't taken it. This is the foundation of all company analysis.
- Three questions that unlock the business
- Why recurring revenue is more valuable than one-off revenue
- What the cost structure tells you about flexibility
- Where a lasting competitive advantage comes from
Three questions before the numbers
If you can't explain a company's business in a couple of sentences, key figures won't help. Start with these:
- What does the company sell? A product, a service, a right of use or brokerage?
- To whom? Consumers, businesses or the public sector, and to how many customers?
- Why does the customer pay? What problem does it solve, and what would the customer do without this company?
If the answer to the third question is “the customer could easily switch to a competitor, and more cheaply”, that is an important observation, and sooner or later it also shows up in the margins.
Recurring or one-off revenue?
This is one of the most important differences between companies. Recurring revenue renews without a new decision to buy; one-off revenue has to be earned again every time.
Many companies combine both: a device is sold once, and the related maintenance or consumables bring in recurring revenue. Then it's worth looking at which part the profitability comes from.
The cost structure tells you about flexibility
- Revenue
- 90
- Variable costs
- −63
- Fixed costs
- −10
- Operating profit
- 17 · −15%
- Revenue
- 90
- Variable costs
- −27
- Fixed costs
- −50
- Operating profit
- 13 · −35%
A 10% fall in sales cut the first company's operating profit by 15% and the second's by 35%. Fixed costs don't flex with sales. The same leverage works on the way up: in a growing market, the second company grows its earnings clearly faster.
This content is for information purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation. Investing always involves the risk of losing capital. The value of financial instruments and investments can go up or down, and past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Profitability attracts competition
The basic mechanism of the economy is simple: if an industry earns exceptional returns, more players enter it. Competition increases supply, pushes prices down and brings profitability back toward the average.
So the key question for an investor is: what stops this from happening to this particular company? That barrier is called a competitive advantage.
The most common sources of competitive advantage
A practical test: if a competitor had unlimited money, could it copy this within a year? If the answer is yes, the competitive advantage is thin.
The industry sets the framework
A company can be well managed and still poorly profitable if its industry is structurally difficult. The structure of the industry affects how much pricing power companies have.
This content is for information purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation. Investing always involves the risk of losing capital. The value of financial instruments and investments can go up or down, and past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Your progress is saved in this browser.