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Bonds · 02 / 09
BasicsLevel 1Beginner8 minUpdated

Where does the return on a bond come from?

A bond's return is not just the coupon. It is worth keeping three concepts apart, and in the end only what is left after inflation counts.

What you'll learn
  • The difference between the coupon, the market price and the yield to maturity
  • Why YTM is the only figure for really comparing bonds
  • What the real interest rate means and why it is what counts

Three numbers to keep apart

A bond's return is not just the coupon. It is worth keeping three concepts apart:

Coupon
The annual interest on the face value. Fixed for the life of the bond, it doesn't change with the market.
Market price
What is being paid for the bond right now. It moves with interest rates all the time.
Yield to maturity (YTM)
The total return if you hold the bond to maturity. The only comparable figure.

If you buy a bond below face value, your actual return is higher than the coupon: you get both the coupon and the price rise up to maturity. If you buy above face value, the return is lower than the coupon.

Same coupon, different return

Chart · illustrative example
Two bonds, the same 4% coupon
Both mature in five years at a face value of €1,000.
Purchase price €950YTM approx. 5.2%
Coupon 4.0%+1.2%
Purchase price €1,050YTM approx. 2.9%
Coupon 4.0%−1.1%
Coupon return Price rise to maturity Price fall to maturity

The coupon is the same 4% in both. The actual return differs by more than two percentage points because the purchase price was different. That is why bonds are compared by YTM, not by coupon.

The real interest rate is what counts

In the end, what matters to a bond investor is the real interest rate: the nominal rate minus inflation. A 4% coupon with 5% inflation is in reality a −1% real return: the money grows in nominal terms but loses purchasing power.

Inflation-linked bonds tie the coupon and the capital to inflation. They protect purchasing power, but they yield less in nominal terms when inflation is calm. When real interest rates are positive, an ordinary bond investment offers a genuine return above inflation.

The nominal return shows up in your account. The real return shows up in what the money buys.

This content is for information purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation. Investing always involves the risk of losing capital. The value of financial instruments and investments can go up or down, and past performance is no guarantee of future returns.

Check your understanding
Test yourself: the parts of the return
Three questions. Pick an answer to see the explanation right away.
Kysymys 1 / 3
Which figure is really used to compare bonds?
Kysymys 2 / 3
You buy a bond below face value. What happens to the return?
Kysymys 3 / 3
What is the real return if the coupon is 4% and inflation is 5%?
Score: 0 / 3

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